It’s fantastic to see so much action from us dogs on Sky Sports and it continues this evening with an intriguing card at Sheffield. There are some fascinating finals to analyse after the heats last week were arguably ran on ground favouring the wide runners; we will see tonight if that was the case! Sheffield is one of the strongest graded tracks in the country (along with Newcastle) and so it is always worth keeping on the right side of those pesky locals who are unexposed against the familiar doggie faces that we see most weeks. The track is a nice galloping circuit which gives a fair chance to any way my colleagues like to run their races and so it should be a great night’s entertainment! As ever though, we’re not just looking for entertainment as value is what really gets the Lolly Faithful howling in excitement! I have found some for us this evening:
19:34 – Marathon
These long-distance races are becoming a regular feature in front of the cameras and without a particular standout candidate for a superstar in the division, they often throw up strange results at the moment. One bitch that could defy that general trend is Burgess Borna who thrives when given racing room and showed at Hall Green last time out that she craves these extended marathons. She ran on really well to catch the proven stayer (who is albeit one-paced) Incitatus in her last race and she can assert earlier in this race. Supreme Rossie also chased down Incitatus in the aforementioned race but Borna looks to just have a slightly better turn of foot than the Stuart Buckland runner (who’s kennel is flying at the moment, admittedly).
19:49 – Sprint
The highlight of the night here as the sprinters line up in what looks like a three-way affair to me. Lode Henry has trapped poorly from the 1 box every time he has been drawn there so he can be swerved and whilst Mustang Blitz clearly has pace, he has had little to beat when he has won. Of course, he can only beat what he is racing against but Guinness Sky has an (all-too infrequent) touch of class and if he pings like I used to, then he is the value here. He can run shockers at times, but has searing pace when he is on a going day.
20:04 – Stayers
Well, last week at Hall Green saw Scala Dromin break the hearts of the Lolly Faithful when she collared our antepost selection, Blonde Razor, in the final strides of the Prestige. Dromin clearly has pace but the energy-sapping conditions in Birmingham last week could have perhaps exaggerated his talent and he is worth taking on here. When looking at the prices, I nearly fell off my sofa and got so excited to the point I have barely been able to have my usual 4 naps before my afternoon walk: Bit View Bugatti is absolutely huge at 7/2! The Kinsley raider has brilliant early around here and whilst she does need the line over this trip, I expect her to be a country 1609.3 metres clear of the field after the first circuit to put this race to bed (I am aware that my calculations may be a slight exaggeration). Tambourine Man and Glenpadden Isle do all of their work all too late in most of their races and I just cannot envisage Coolavanny Doll leading Bugatti. Of course, if one of the chasing pack gets a dream run or a flyer out of the traps, then Bugatti will be in trouble, but she is well, well overpriced for me at 7/2.
20:19 – Standard
The influence of one-race form is a perillous guide to a dog’s form and I think that the humans have overreacted to Candelight King’s minor blip last week in the heats of the competition run later tonight. Aside from Pay Freeze, I would suggest he is the best dog at Sheffield and he can quickly assert here and lead the highly thought-of young tyke that is Farloe Striker. The main danger comes in the form of Hather George who is arguably the most consistent dog of his generation and will always give his all; yet that approach might be taking it’s toll on George who is uncharacteristically 0 wins from his last 4 starts here. I am loathe to taking him on normally but I simply have to with the track star (6 wins from 9) that is Candlelight King.
20:34 – Marathon
Another extremely difficult marathon to assess here as it is solely based on if Fearsome Liberty is race-fit for this distance. The market seems to think so and if she does not need the run, she will saunter clear of these. I, however, think that you need to have had at least a run over a long 6 bends before a marathon and therefore I think the value is in Borna Standard who is stepping up to this distance for the first time. Of course, he will have to confirm he stays too but I would rather have a dog that has built up his stamina (and believe me they need stamina for this ridiculous distance!) and I think he is the value. Crooks Mercedes is another viable alternative but again, she has not ran over any sort of staying distance since 19th December. Standard is a very tentative selection.
20:49 – Bitches
This race has really got me salivating (and not just because they are bitches!) because I think it is one of the finals that may have been affected by the going last week. Rewind Express was a good way clear before getting dog collared on the line by Greenwell Lark and I think she can reverse that form tonight at a price. She has a good draw to work from with Story Time mid-to-wide and so she can have the rails to herself. Droopys Hope is just not the force-of-old for me since she became a mother but if the Oaks winner of 2012 can reproduce that form, then she will go close but I don’t think she quite has the same desire to win races and perhaps has more of a desire to be with her pesky tykes. Hope can, however, provide a nuisance to Lark to the point where Express has built an unassailable lead.
21:04 – Bitches
Two bitches races on the TV in a row – what a treat! This one is far more hard to call with a case to be made for virtually all of the runners. There are so many unexposed sorts in this and the break will prove pretty crucial. Akerview Gem is a confirmed front-runner but may have to deal with Caseys Wonder going for the rails from the off. That could set the race up for the bitch in-form that is Proper Fancy who showed great desire in the heats to get on the bunny. She is closely matched to Razldazl Katie on their local form but I Fancy the 3 bitch to prevail based on her recent form.
21:19 – Dogs
So the finale here sees one dog that in houndsight, I back too much but he is once again unavoidable in his beloved red box: Droopys Odell. The pace that this colleague of mine shows when he has his rails is scintillating and even before the withdrawal of Droopys Dave in trap 2, he had a great draw and he simply has to be backed at around evens. He has come back to all-conquering form around here and the fact that he may even lead tonight suggests this could be a forlorn race for his rivals. Aghaburren Paddy rates as the danger as he stays and occassionally pings, but once again the Lolly Faithful will be on Odell in one.
Here are the recommendations
8:04 – Bit View Bugatti – 3 doggie treats @ 7/2
8:19 – Candlelight King – 1 piece of bread @ 5/4
8:49 – Rewind Express – 1 breast of chicken @ 9/2
9:19 – Droopys Odell – 2 chewstix @ 4/5
So there we are! There are my thoughts on the proceedings and as ever, please tweet me if you have any comments and I promise to bark back with as much enthusiasm as I showed when I saw Bit View Bugatti’s price this morning (and believe me, there was a lot of spinning in circles and barking then!). As you will know from my racing career, I was very predictable and some might argue that has transferred into my career as a Freelance Journadog; backing Droopys Odell in trap 1, who’d have thought it…
Enjoy the racing,
Jimmy