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The Arc Final + Supporting Sky Card Thoughts

A fascinating night ahead of us on Arc final night and none moreso than for my human friends @TheAntePostmen who are sitting on 20/1 tickets for the favourite, Millwards Whitey, in the big one.  That race aside, we have a cracking card to get our teeth into with two high class staying brothers adorning the Swindon sand and a quality sprint to look forward to.  A great evening ahead of us and as ever, I have found the value for the Lolly Faithful:

19:11 – Bitches

As my loyal followers are well aware I love a good bitches race and in Domino Storm there is a bitch who is very unlucky not to be contesting the main event this evening.  Knocked out at the semi-final stage she was unfortunate to get knocked at the messy third turn when she was just hitting full stride; she can lead tonight and won’t be caught if she gets on the bunny, like she did in the first round of the Arc.  The danger is Forest Sara who is a clever, powerful bitch who can beat any bitch in training on her day, but her form out of 3 is patchy and the “mid” tag is on for a reason as she would ideally like to come out of 4 or 5.  She should clear the way for a Storm success and 9/4 was way off the mark this morning.

19:26 – Sprint

Everyone’s favourite race comes up second and we have some classy hounds in it.  Who Needs Pace is shocking out of 3 so he is sadly passed over and Aero Twizzle is looking to come back from all sorts of niggles so that should pave the way for Trade Victorious to ping, move slightly middle (with 3 giving him room) and make-all.  Target Harris is surely an uneasy favourite as an inconsistent trapper who is yet to see these boxes: he’s the fastest of these but is no consideration at his price at all.  Dragon Big Bux is more than capable of producing a flier and is feared.

19:43 – Super Standard

There seems to be a lot of six-bend sorts in this race and with that in mind, Jolly Redeye should make all.  He’s not entirely straightforward but on the bunny he’s a useful dog and doesn’t get caught around here.  Farneys Cookie is reluctantly passed over but he is flying and if he turns anywhere near, including just behind Redeye, he possibly catches him which will be a great race to witness.  Fivestar Clipper needs to lead, needs 6 and needs further; apart from that he looks a solid proposition.

19:59 – Super Stayers

Touch Tackle is a fearless and fearsome hound who will relish this extra yardage this evening to stretch them out from his favoured trap 1 box and make virtually all.  Any odds-against quotes should be snaffled up quicker than I eat my bowl of Meaty Chunks for dinner (other brands available, but they’re not as tasty…) and the only danger to my cute, adorable eyes looks the bitch Swansalona Diva.  She’s unbeaten over a trip and whilst she may pose a threat to Tackle, she’s a pouncer rather than a galloper for me and she may have to deal with wide pinging Kakantu for too much of the race to land a blow anyway.

20:16 – Standard

A competitive affair is headed by Swift Whirlwind who caught odds-on Gymcrack favourite on Trainer’s Championship night at Sittingbourne so he clearly has pace.  He’s probably short enough based on his trial where Billys Bullet beat him out of sight and made him look like an A8 grader!  Swift Leonard probably needs further and the one of interest here now he has his box (and dog does he need it!) is Southfield Harry in trap 1.  At Romford he has been handed horror draws in mid-division where he proceeds to cut across to the rails like he’s actually going to hurdle the fence and take a short-cut over the field.  Maybe he’s wise to where the pesky hare is going, who knows, but in 1 today he can show his true colours as he has some useful times on his card.  He’s no 14/1 shot with the mid-moving Crossfield Zeus next to him.

20:33 – Super Standard

Teejays Panther could make into a really nice sort but he has not fared well in the draw here as Westmead John is going to move straight right into him.  If Panther can clear John then he’ll win this but he’s priced accordingly.  Vanfrankie is a relentless galloper but has probably been disappointing on these shores and he can give some lovely space to Wotnofizz who is capable of pinging and stretching these out.  Whether she gets this trip is another question but she should have every chance on the bunny, and she hopes the 2 doesn’t turn behind her.

20:51 – Stayers.

Billys Bullet.

21:08 – Arc Final

The draw couldn’t have favoured Millwards Whitey here anymore as he loves trap 1 and Calco Flyer moved into about lane 4 in the Semi-Final to let him in on the first and third bends.  Evanta Evita could ping out and set a real challenge but it’s hard to see her coming out of 6 as well as she did from 1 in the semi-final and even then, she’s prone to missing the break like her sister Aero Babooshka.  Loughteen Eoin is of interest as he has done little wrong in the UK, yet the decision to not go to the Derby with him by connections is an interesting one and suggests they might just feel he is not quite Category One class.  We shall see but Whitey looks a Derby dog to me and he should be winning this as drawn if he’s to go close in the premier classic.

Here are the recommendations:

19:11 – Domino Storm – 1 breast of chicken @ 7/4

19:26 – Trade Victorious – 1 doggie treat @ 9/2

19:59 – Touch Tackle – 1 chewstick @ Evs

20:16 – Southfield Harry – 1 dog bone @ 14/1

So there are my thoughts on the proceedings! As ever, please tweet me if you have any comments and I promise to bark back at you faster than Trade Victorious makes the bend this evening!  It should be a great night and let’s hope we can get some winners on the board and land a touch.

Enjoy the racing,

Jimmy

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