Celebrating the best bred dogs in the world (like yours truly) is the highlight this evening as the final of the British Breeders Stakes is live from Nottingham on Sky Sports. Nottingham is a great track so the card has a real quality feel to it and as ever, it is always worth remembering it is effectively that human Charlie Lister OBE’s home track! There are plenty of angles to get my teeth into today with this card and as ever, I have found the Lolly Faithful some value:
19:34 – Stayers
The stayers kick off proceedings and with Droopys Hawaii being far too inconsistent, it looks an absolute sue-in for Moss Lane Sue to complete her five-timer. She has previous experience of the track, is devasating out of 6 over a trip and it is hard to see any of her rivals back-running her this evening. Sidaz Dippy is respected as a game bitch and was somewhat farcically left out of the St. Leger by the racing humans at Wimbledon, but even her staying prowess can’t match Sue this evening; she should get us off to a winning start and is too big to do so.
19:49 – Sprint
Everyone’s favourite race here has an intriguing make-up with 4 wide seeds and it is the one drawn on the inside of that quartet that is fancied to atone for her disappointing exit in the Scurry Cup: Wee Tiger Tots. She is not brilliant out of trap 3 and will be moving off at the bend, but she should have the legs on her rivals outside her with a level break and she is always capable of pinging like me. 305m is definitely as far as she wants but she can obtain a race-winning lead at the bend. Baliff Cairo is respected as the Scurry Cup winner but much prefers a middle draw and Calzaghe George produced a career-best trapping effort to win last time out, can he do it again? Doubtful. Tots has a touch of class at her best and is too big to conquer her paw draw.
20:04 – Bitches
I have a certain thing for foreign bitches and Skywalker Alice is surely too big on her English debut here. She put in a lacklustre trial but it appears she stepped out of the boxes and is capable of much better. A leading contender for the Irish Oaks before she went into an untimely season, her price of 8/1 is too dismissive of her chances against the fairer sex here. Her chances are enhanced by Aero Babooshka not having a look at the track or more importantly, the boxes, as she can put in some howlers out of the traps sometimes. She will also have to clear the potentially useful Tyrur Annaleen who steps out of Maiden company in the UK for the first time here. Annaleen will be railing and has a nice turn of foot so Babooshka could suddenly be faced with a real problem to clear up the inside. Greenhill Beauty was quietly fancied to upset the very useful Jaytee China in the Angel of the North final and she will definitely be railing as well. Can Skywalker Alice clear those three? Based on her Shelbourne Park efforts she could take all the beating here and this work is all about price. Clounamon Queen is respected and could also run well at a big price, but Alice represents the outstanding value in this line-up.
20:19 – Dogs
It’s really pleasing to see 2013 Derby winner Sidaz Jack back to near his scintillating best and he will surely lead this field. That barked, he is vulnerable over anything longer than 460m these days (and arguably throughout his career) so he is no value to last home here. The presence of Ballygibbon King in trap 2 makes it a race to avoid though as he will be moving middle, has early, is a big old boy and it is too hard to call who can get a run on the outside. A tentative vote goes to Monmore Gold Cup winner Viking Jack who can ping out like me or do it the harder way. If he can be a clever doggie and turn close, he can mow down Sidaz Jack. Calzaghe Davy can beat anything on his day, Bromwich Tom is the best local around here and Coolemore Joe has shown promise but has yet to build on it. This should be a great race! Who will catch Sidaz Jack?
20:34 – Marathon
The lunatics are on show here who like to run for at least 600m too long and in it, there is a bitch who can build on the promise shown at Hove last time out. Slaneyside Aine had no chance of chasing down Droopys Bear once he got on the bunny but she ran a good race in behind all the same and this distance is just what she’s asking for based on her Irish efforts. Fearsome Liberty is feared over a marathon trip as she has early and stays but whether she is quite as ahead of these as the market suggests is questionable as she seems to just beat up average fields, Aine might not be average. She has paw formlines when Ballymac Bonnie caught her but any human (or dog) watching the St. Leger on Saturday would see that Bonnie only starts racing after 650m so those efforts from Aine in defeat can be forgiven. She has a great chance to turn second to Liberty and give her a real race. Crazy Weasley lives up to his name going over this sort of distance but he is hardly well drawn in trap 1 and whilst he’ll be making late headway, a good bitch beats a good dog over a marathon trip in my dog’s honest opinion.
20:49 – Puppy
It was devastating for the Lolly Faithful to see Dragon Posse get eliminated from the Northern Puppy Derby when he just hated being drawn in trap 1: he is not drawn there tonight! Ideally berthed next to the rapid, but short-running, Thirteen Bags, he can turn behind that rival and use his immense galloping pace. It is a race full of useful looking young tykes, Posse has the potential to be something pretty special in my eyes. He has had a sighter of his crucial part of the track (the third bend) with a sprint trial on his card and he looks a dog ideally suited to the straights of Nottingham. We shall see tonight!
21:04 – Bitches Final
There’s a nice bitch in the final who I’ve got my eye on in Burnfoot Belle but trap 1 has too many uncertainties for the previous wide seed to make her value at evens. She could destroy this field if she can get to the front at any stage, but the slight value is the far better drawn Toosey Fern turning handy enough to replicate some of her nice trials. She’s well bred and can assert down the back straight should Belle not deliver from trap 1.
21:19 – British Breeders Stakes Final
King Dec is the quickest of this lot but this is where our work becomes more complicated as he is not a natural railer and Golden Apple seems to have got some of her verve back following a bizarre incident when she ended up in the middle of the track after falling! I’ll give her some advice that the hare is never in the middle of the circuit, but besides that she can show enough pace to give Dec enough problems on the inside. That leads us to looking for a strong type in my opinion and Lowgate Zircon is the preference of the litter-brothers to hunt this field down. He hasn’t got the best early but Nottingham is hardly a track where you need devastating pace and he can turn close enough to the action down the back to start picking them off one-by-one. If Dec gets a clear he’ll beat these with ease but Zircon is the value in the race as he has been quietly impressive of late.
Here are the recommendations:
19:34 – Moss Lane Sue – 1 doggie treat @ 11/8
20:04 – Skywalker Alice – 1 breast of chicken @ 8/1
20:34 – Slaneyside Aine – 1 dog bone @ 4/1
20:49 – Dragon Posse – 2 chewsticks @ 10/3
21:19 – Lowgate Zircon – 1 piece of bread @ 7/1
So there are my thoughts on the proceedings! As ever, please tweet me if you have any comments and I promise to woof right back at you! It should be a great night with some fascinating contests and let’s hope the Lolly Faithful see what the Dragon is capable of tonight. Come and join the posse.
Enjoy the racing,
Jimmy